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Coronavirus Response Helps Sink Trump’s Approval Ratings

Maybe it’s the lies he tell, misleading Americans into thinking the we were immune to coronavirus, that the virus will never come to our borders. Or maybe it just the fact that Donald Trump is a terrible president. Whatever the reason, Americans are not liking Trump right now.

Donald Trump isn’t benefiting from what political scientists refer to as a “rally ‘round the flag” effect — a traditional surge in popularity as the nation unites behind its leader during an emergency situation.

Even as the country confronts the greatest disruption to daily life since World War II, a series of new polls released this week show Trump’s approval ratings plateauing in the mid-40s, roughly where his approval rating stood a month ago, before the coronavirus shuttered much of the nation’s economic and social activity.

In other words, public views of Trump’s leadership in the coronavirus crisis are now breaking down along familiar lines of polarization: Americans view his performance during the pandemic about the same way they view his performance generally.

Throughout the first three years of his presidency, Trump’s approval rating has traded in a narrow band. But his failure to unite the country behind his leadership also reflects Americans’ judgment of his handling of the outbreak thus far: In poll after poll this week, increasing percentages say they think Trump is doing a bad job, and his administration hasn’t done enough to protect citizens from the effects of Covid-19.

 

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President Obama is “Eager to go” against Trump

Now that Bernie Sanders has ended his campaign for Presidency, sources close to former President Barack Obama says the former President is anxious to get into the campaign against Donald Trump.

The former president has stayed out of the Democratic primary, but sources say he is anxious to endorse his former vice president, Joe Biden, and become an active player in the general election campaign against President Trump.

Democrats across the country are also ready for his entry.

“IT IS TIME,” Doug Landry, a former Hillary Clinton aide, wrote Wednesday, tweeting a cartoon image of Obama as superman. “RELEASE THE SUPER SURROGATE.”

Sources close to the former president is ready, but that he and Biden are also conscious of the coronavirus pandemic dominating the country and changing the nature of politics.

Biden actually spoke by phone with Trump on Monday to discuss the pandemic, and Sanders made it clear that the spreading virus was one reason he ended his campaign on Wednesday despite the urgings of some supporters to continue.

“He’s eager to go,” said one source close to Obama. “He’s been waiting for this election for almost four years.”

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Until It’s Safe

Really easy to remember those three words, no? A few syllables and you’ve spoken volumes. And that’s all the president has to say. Until it’s safe.

How long do we stay in our homes? Until it’s safe.
How long do we have to practice distancing? Until it’s safe.
How long do we have to wait until we can see professional sports, cultural events, friends, go to the movies or museums? Until it’s safe.

Until it’s safe.

Not Easter. Not May 1, Not September when the NFL season is supposed to begin.

Until it’s safe. That’s the only answer.

The president proved to me long ago that he is a unique study in ignorance, selfishness and egomania basting in a gumbo of misinformation, unverifiable opinion, and dangerous myopia. When he says that something is fake, I know that it’s real. When he says it’s a hoax, I know it’s true. When he says he’s doing a great job, I know that he’s doing a terrible job. When he says it’s a witch hunt, then I am reasonably certain that there are, in fact, witches, and that they are a cornerstone of our economy. When he says that the press is an enemy, then I must be a traitor.

When he does all of this for political reasons, I understand his motives and chalk it up to the system we have. But the Covid-19 pandemic is different. Now his ignorance and instincts for political survival are getting more people sick and dead. And he’s sending a message to states that they are on their own for supplies and should stop whining if they don’t have enough. After all, he’s a wartime president, but true to form, this is not a national war coordinated at the national level to stop a national threat. This is a bathtub naval operation being fought by a president without a clue as to how to use the federal government for the benefit of all, and with his greatest weapon being a soap-on-a-rope.

It’s also no wonder that the Impeached One is so threatened by Dr. Anthony Fauci. Here’s someone who knows what he’s talking about and is not afraid to say what the president won’t; that we should be in our homes until it’s safe to come out.

And if we’re really afraid of what the pandemic is doing to the economy, then let’s have some real relief. A check for $1,200 isn’t going to cut it for a majority of Americans, and the funds for small business help are actually being given out on a first-come-first-served basis. This is relief? Everybody should get relief that will help them and every business that needs help should get it. You shouldn’t have to rely on a faster Internet connection or being able to get/stay up at 4:00 am simply to survive in the marketplace. Other countries have figured this out. Germany got citizens a payment in three days. Some of us won’t get a payment until September.

As for the election, the president is still underwater in most polls, and Joe Biden and the Democrats haven’t even begun to remind voters that they want to provide everyone with affordable health care, while the president wants to take it away. Or that Democrats want a national program of child care and paid sick days. Or that Democrats want to make sure that corporations can’t use any relief money to buy back stock or pay their CEOs more money. Or that Democrats understand that Covid-19 has uncovered the massive gap in realities in education, earnings, job security and wage equity that exists. This pandemic will change this country in more ways than many people think. We’re not going back to the way things were in 2019.

Have you registered to vote? And have you made sure that you can get a mail-in ballot if polls are closed or compromised by a repeat pandemic in the fall? Do it now.

For more, go to www.facebook.com/WhereDemocracyLives or Twitter @rigrundfest

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CNN’s Chris Cuomo Confirmed with COVID-19

The in your face anchor of CNN’s Cuomo Prime Time announced via twitter that the he is confirmed with the Coronavirus.

“In these difficult times that seem to get more difficult and complicated by the day, I just found out that I am positive for coronavirus,” Cuomo wrote in a message on Twitter.

“I have been exposed to people in recent days who have subsequently tested positive and I had fevers, chills and shortness of breath,” he wrote. “I just hope I didn’t give it to the kids and Cristina. That would make me feel worse than this illness!

Cuomo said Tuesday that he is “quarantined in my basement” and will “do my shows from here.”

“We will all beat this by being smart and tough and united!” he wrote on Twitter.

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Co-(vid) Education

Whither Betsy DeVos?

Here is the Secretary of Education at a crisis point in American education and she is…silent.

Don’t get me wrong; under normal circumstances I would welcome, indeed pay for, silence from Ms. DeVos. Her disdain for, and ignorance of public education, will unfortunately become one of the lasting effects of the Trump Administration and the era of conservatism that seems to be unraveling. I certainly understand that public schools are the purview of the states, but it would be nice to have the Secretary of Education deliver an address or a letter that outlines the objectives that all schools need to meet with online education. I guess if you don’t educate for money, Ms. DeVos doesn’t want to hear from you. This is more than disappointing. It’s malpractice.

Of course, we know that this administration as a whole is educationally-challenged, beginning with the president. His history of undermining and ignoring science has finally caught up to him, and us. In the last few days, he’s even hyped drugs that people with lupus need to live as a possible remedy for Covid-19 (19, 20, whatever it takes). This bit of irresponsibility could cause severe shortages for a medicine that we don’t know will actually address the virus. And that doesn’t even take into account the fact that the president says he knew there would be a pandemic, after denying it and blaming the hype on the Democrats. Could they also have White House briefings where people stand six feet apart from each other? Anthony Fauci should know better. I want to see him in a space suit.

And speaking of blaming it on the Democrats (we were and don’t you deny it), along comes this parable about conservative FOX-watching Americans who were sure that Covid-19 was a fake until…wait for it…one of their own contracted it. I sincerely hope that the man who is sick gets better soon and I am not in any way engaging in schadenfreude. What gets me is that people actually believe politicians in times of health emergencies. Or in this case, they believe that the Chinese created this disease for the purpose of unleashing it on their people and Americans in order for the Democrats to subvert the president and undermine his leadership. I just don’t understand that serpentine illogic. The article also tells of how the conservative media saw the Covid threat as overblown, so the people dismissed the warnings and didn’t take the necessary precautions. That’s the danger inherent in an administration that blames and vilifies the media.

Finally, what happens when there’s a shot for Covid-19 and the anti-vaccinators rebel? I don’t have an answer. I just pose the question.

For more, go to www.facebook.com/WhereDemocracyLives or Twitter @rigrundfest

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The Covidian Epoch Begins

Concerns:

What do you think will happen with this company?

If you eat enough matzoh, you won’t need as much toilet paper. I know that it’s not Passover just yet and it’s forbidden to eat the new matzoh before the first Seder, but these are unique and troubling times. If God has anything to do with Covid-19, how much angrier could he get if we rip open the Yehuda and solve a supply and demand problem? You could add some horseradish for flavor, and after three days you will not need to worry about paper shortages.

Do you still know somebody who denies that the virus is real? Here’s a handy guide to articles that you can use to answer them, if indeed you are still on speaking terms with them. I know that it must hurt some people’s brains to hear the president and others say that the virus is a foreign weapon or an impeachment grade left-wing terrorist plot one day, then say that it is indeed real and that the president actually had dinner with it last week (as with most things related to Trump, it came back negative). I guess anything can get into Mar-a-Lago if it knows somebody. The worst part, though, is that Brazillians of people could now be exposed. And will the president pass his test? Film at 11.

Not to sound too imperious, intelligent and superior, but this blogger began stocking up on necessities three weeks ago. I bought canned goods, pasta, Tastykakes (Juniors and Kandykakes, peanut butter and chocolate), chicken and paper goods at the warehouse boutique, and filled up the mower gas tank just in case the Russians and/or Saudis got frisky with the world supply. Turns out I overpaid on early gasoline, but the interest on my equity loan is now less than a whole number, so I’m going to let x equal whatever it wants for a while.

And a while it will be before the students and I traipse back through the schoolhouse gate. It’s Zoom and Skype and Google Meet and sharing documents across the divide for at least two weeks while we flush out the bad humors from the tony woods of Somerset and Morris Counties. We are still running a timed schedule and do have to meet with our students over the interweb, so it will be an adventure for a while. Of course, if you have younger children in grade school, I’m not sure how that will work. Nap time will now be graded.

If you like good news, you can always take a gander at the daily polls, which, and I know it’s early, show that there seem to be more and more citizens out there who don’t want the president around the White House after January 20. Even Arizona looks a bit wobbly for the Republicans at this juncture. If the market rebounds and the virus doesn’t approach doomsday predictions, the president could make a comeback, but it seems like every time he has what’s called a good week, he steps on it with statements or actions that clearly show that he’s broken up with facts and science. If they were ever seeing each other.

Stay safe. No high-fives. Six feet apart. Read a book.

For more, go to www.facebook.com/WhereDemocracyLives or Twitter @rigrundfest

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M-M-M-My Corona

When you’ve been anti-science for most of your administration, then science is going to eventually catch up to you. And when you’ve based your entire agenda on tweets that say things are great, then when things get not so great, it will catch up to you.

And it has.

The president and his allies have politicized the Coronavirus to the point that he now owns everything about it, including our health, its effect on the stock market, consumer confidence, and his administration’s emergency response abilities. So far, the virus has not spread beyond a few cases, but viruses don’t belong to political parties, nor are they Democratic Socialists. What is true today could be entirely different tomorrow. I hope that means that things will get better, but like most of the president’s efforts, I can’t say that I am confident in  his abilities to manage a volatile situation. He creates one heck of a volatile situation, but managing? Prove me wrong.

I can’t say that I’m any more secure in the knowledge that Mike Pence is in charge of the anti-virus efforts. Here’s a man who, as Governor of Indiana, had to pray for two days before approving a needle exchange program to curb the spread of HIV. Say what you want about my lack of religious faith, but when it comes to saving lives, especially of those who can spread deadly diseases, I don’t need more than a few minutes to make my decision. It’s part of my heathen charm.

And this is why I’m suspicious of the anti-science, religious crowd. I understand that Pence didn’t approve of drug users, but essentially thinking about letting some die because they were leading immoral lives is unacceptable. Remember that even the patron saint of the GOP, Ronald Reagan, waited five years before acknowledging AIDS. Millions of people died while he dithered and refused to listen to his science guy, Surgeon General C. Everett Koop, and ignored warnings that this could spread to other populations aside form gay men. And it did.

So you’ll excuse me if I do not ultimately trust the instincts of the even-more religious people in the presidents orbit. This is not divine retribution. It’s a virus. By all means, pray for its demise and for the health of humans everywhere, but I don’t want to hear that Mike Pence or Mick Mulvaney or Mike Pompeo are using anything but science to defeat it.

As for the economy, the stock market is reflecting the seriousness of the outbreak on the global supply chain and corporate profits, but the real story is Mick Mulvaney’s plea for more immigrants. It’s one thing to control the border; it’s quite another to ignore decades of data that shows how much the United States depends upon immigrant labor for the growth of our economy. In many parts of the country, including New York, immigrants have provided the only growth in the population. The president’s immigration policies, but more significantly, his rhetoric about the evils of immigration will be his, and our, undoing. The economy is creating jobs, but if there aren’t enough employees, then all kinds of nasty things will happen including an inflationary spiral as dollars chase a limited supply of workers.

Economics is a science, no? And we know how this administration loves science.

For more, go to www.facebook.com/WhereDemocracyLives or Twitter @rigrundfest

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Beg Your Pardon?

And it’s only February.

But the Russians are all in for Bernie because they too see him as the perfect foil for the president. And if anyone should know socialism, it’s the Russians. 

Vladimir Putin knows how to play our president perfectly. All he needs to do is flatter, feign some morality, play hardball with the satellite countries, continue to tell the president that, no, he didn’t meddle in the 2016 election, and be the bestest autocrat he can be. Oh, and Putin continues to use social media to disrupt a disruptible president, by continuing the story that it was the meddling Ukrainians in 2016. But that’s only if you believe that some country actually interfered in the election, which our president doesn’t, because Trump is convinced that lending any credence to that theory undercuts what he believes to be a false narrative that he didn’t actually win the popular vote. And besides; Putin said it didn’t happen. So it must not have happened, right?

Yes, I really typed those words. Such times we live in.

Now that said president is feeling much better after being roasted by the Mueller Report and impeached, he’s turning on the charm by invoking the constitution – not the United States Constitution of course – and stating that he can pretty much do whatever he wants and can’t be touched legally. The Supreme Court will have a decision about this in June. It will be a key test of the separation of powers. And mark my words: When the court rules against the president in any of the cases, he will angrily question why “his Judges” are against him.

As for the pardons, yes, they are within his power and given that other presidents have pardoned some single celled creatures in the past, I’m not going to argue with the power to pardon. The problem is that the president has made this a personal issue. He’s pardoning people because they are pretty good people (despite being crooks) and because they were prosecuted by the Justice Department, which the president believes to be full of people who don’t like him, or they have ties to the people who looked at evidence and decided that Donald Trump needed to face some consequences. And everybody knows that people who cite Roy Cohn as their guiding star don’t ever need to face no stinkin’ consequences.

And the campaign? I’m going to reserve any judgments or predictions until after Super Tuesday. Right now, the press is anointing Bernie as the nominee, but we have many more states to go and we’ll have some candidates dropping out of the race. The big question is where do their supporters go? Do the lefties all go to Sanders? Do the moderates all go to Klubichar or Biden? Has Bloomberg convinced the voters that despite his record on crime and women, that he is the best to run against the president (who seems to be more frightened of Bloomberg than anyone else)? It’s messy. but remember that primary campaigns are usually messy.

For more, go to www.facebook.com/WhereDemocracyLives or Twitter @rigrundfest

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Building for a Smaller Future

Is it really a good week for the president when the highlight is that he’s been acquitted by the Senate on an impeachment charge?  And then he does his best impression of the Night of the Long Knives on Friday, purging the members of his administration who saw what he was doing with Ukraine and though it wrong.

The bar is lying on the ground, my friends.

But just in case you thought that the president could rise above the petty politics he practices and appeal to a wider swath of Americans, along comes a proposal that is truly frightening and perhaps more devastating to our way of life. That’s right; I’m talking about the proposed Executive Order that would establish a classical architectural style as the default for all new government buildings. Inspired by Greek and Roman styles, these buildings would not just be confined to Washington, but would apply to federal buildings throughout the country.

And who would be one of the arbiters? Mr. Architecture himself, the president.

It’s bad enough that he uses vile language and demeans people with offensive nicknames. Now he wants the Trump aesthetic to be the defining artistic movement of the 2020s. Can you say shortsighted with a straight face? I’m sure we all know about regimes that attempt to define what is art and language and who belongs to appropriate ethnicities and how to think and what to write. Are we headed in that direction?

We’re already in the car and on the road.

I can understand that many people in the United States have trouble with some modern art because some of it is not outwardly aesthetically pleasing. It’s there to make us think. To consider our definitions of beauty and form and structure and why we would use certain materials to express ourselves. But to say that it’s all ugly and confusing and that a nice Roman or Greek column would look better in front of every government building is the very definition of small-mindedness, anti-intellectualism, ethnocentrism, and fear of the unknown.

Yes, we have more pressing problems, but this is one that can grow into something far bigger.

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Please Excuse Our Appearance While We Renovate Our Democracy

I’m sure you caught Alan Dershowitz eviscerating the constitution last Wednesday, but in case you missed it, here’s the money shot:

“Every public official that I know believes that his election is in the public interest,” Mr. Dershowitz, a celebrity defense attorney and member of Mr. Trump’s legal team, said on the floor of the Senate. He added: “And if a president does something which he believes will help him get elected, in the public interest, that cannot be the kind of quid pro quo that results in impeachment.”

I hope Mr. Dershowitz has a towel absorbent enough to get all the junk off his face.

We knew that the Republicans would do anything to move this trial along, and quite honestly, the Democrats in the House did not help themselves or the case against the president by punting on issuing subpoenas and fighting the denials in the courts. This gave the Senate majority the excuse to consider only the narrow evidence from the House and to reject new witnesses.  John Bolton could have testified in the House but decided to get cute, or maybe stall until his manuscript was safely in the White House on December 30, so his offer to spill it all in the Senate rings a bit hollow. Not that I agree with much of anything John Bolton believes, including taking the US out of the UN, but it seems that he has a few vertebrae which set him apart from the slithery amphibians who inhabit the New Swamp.

And Senator Lamar Alexander of Tennessee is the first runner up to Dershowitz, saying that the president was guilty of what the House charged him with but, well, we can’t throw him out because that would be too, you know, incendiary. And besides, we have an election coming up so we’ll let the people decide. This kind of reasoning makes Mitt Romney, who did have the backbone to vote to hear witnesses, the conscience of the Republican Party. 

Strange days indeed.

For a political organization that’s won the national popular vote ONCE since 1992, the Republicans sure like to throw the dice on elections, once for a Supreme Court seat in 2016 and the other this fall. They won the first. Let’s hope they lose the bet this November.

And speaking of, with Iowans caucusing and generally making mayhem on Monday night, I certainly hope that the more moderate candidates win or hang in the top three until more representative states can vote in their primaries. I am not a fan of Bernie Sanders and believe that he is a McGovern/Mondale landslide waiting to happen. I like Elizabeth Warren a bit more, but again, I don’t see her ideas winning the states she would need to defeat the president.

I’m going to nail my tent spikes for any of Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Amy Klobuchar or Mayor Pete because I truly believe that they can win in November. We are deep in a conservative era now and absent an economic disaster, which I certainly don’t want to happen, I don’t see the country swinging back to the farther left in a few months. 

What the Democrats need to do is give those people who voted for Obama, then Trump, a reason to come back. The focus should be on health care, jobs, the environment and a more common-sense approach to immigration and foreign policy. These are the winning issues. I have no doubt that more will come out about the president’s destructive policies in Ukraine and other spots around the world, so even without an impeachment inquiry, he is eminently vulnerable to someone who can make the argument that we need a more practical approach to policy. 

I could be wrong, but I think that beneath the seeming intransigence of people’s political views, or at least what the media is telling us about that, is a recognition among many Americans that we can do better than the minute-to-minute tweetfest that we’re currently engaged in, and that we can elect a chief executive who can speak about our aspirations and promise rather than appeal to our darkest fears.

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Gains and Losses on Equality

For all of the terrible news coming out of this administration, there is some good long-terms news on race and equity this Martin Luther King Day.

It seems that those good old liberal ideas, Affirmative Action and the war on Poverty, have had a positive effect on American society. That’s right: the two programs that Republicans have been running against since 1964 have, to a large degree, been working.

There is no long-terms evidence that whites and men have born the brunt of the laws, nor have they been wastes of time, effort and money. In fact, the United States is a more integrated society because of these laws and they continue to contradict the utter helplessness of the Trump administration’s efforts to use race as a tool for whining conservatives to have something to talk about on TV and the radio.

The key, it seems, is that corporate America has bought into the truth that diversity in the workplace makes us a more tolerant society and yields more productive and creative experiences. Of course, their concern is profit, but as far as I can see, profits have not suffered as these companies have become more representative of the country. I will also give credit to the major sports leagues and arts organizations, who have used pressure on recalcitrant state and local governments when they attempt to impose discriminatory laws to satisfy those people who are not enlightened.

Despite all of this, we have a long way to go before we have a truly equal society. Discrimination and racism are still rampant in many industries and the wealth gap between African-Americans and whites is as wide and deep as the Grand Canyon. And as long as the president continues to stoke the racial divide and betray an attitude towards women and the LGBTQ community that makes Neanderthals look progressive, we will continue to suffer from a problem that should have been solved long ago.

We have spent four decades under the influence of trickle-down economics and calls for smaller government. The effects of these are, and were, predictable. The gap between the wealthy and everyone else has yawned. Spending on absolute necessities such as schools, drug treatment, family leave laws, tuition subsidies, infrastructure, transportation that doesn’t include cars, job retraining, and health care has been cut back or nonexistent.

Many of these deficiencies have fallen hardest on the minority community and women, who bear the responsibility for working and caring for children, and face the brunt of criticism when the lack of programs force them to make choices that whiter, wealthier people see as threatening to American culture. Whatever that has become.

On this Martin Luther King holiday, let’s continue to work for a more inclusive society, and let’s work to make sure that one year from now, we are preparing for the inauguration of a president who values diversity, inclusion, educational equity, and exhibits a vocabulary of healing and justice.

Dreams are great, but reality is much better.

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Assassination as Foreign Policy

Let’s think this through. Somebody has to, right?

President Trump ordered the killing of Major General Qassim Suleimani in order to “stop a war” and because other Iranian attacks on United States forces were “imminent.” As of this moment, neither the president nor any military or intelligence officials is being specific about Iranian operations. We’re only getting the “just not the facts ma’am” embellished by wild numbers (Suleimani was responsible of millions of deaths? Did I miss a war?) and general accusations that are a core component of the president’s pronouncements.

Of course, the Iranian’s are incensed by his breach of their sovereignty, but I can’t be too sympathetic given the thousands of people who’ve been killed by their attacks, either directly or through proxies across the Middle East.

The issue, though, is whether this official assassination will change anything. General Suleimani was not the head of some terrorist organization or rogue state that depended on his will or knowledge. He was part of a bureaucracy that had a plan behind it. Killing him will not stop that plan or the policies that undergird it. The Quds force will still be strong. Iranian weapons will still fire live ammunition. Iran’s leadership will still hold sway over the areas they have now in Syria and Iraq. There are likely to be other generals or military leaders in Iran who can step in and run the military. Maybe they won’t be quite as forceful or effective or feared, but run the military they will. After all, we’ve had hundreds of terrorist attacks since the killings of Osama bin Laden and Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

For comparison, just think about what would happen if anyone in the Trump Administration died. Policy, mostly bad, would continue with another cabinet member. It’s the same with Iran.

The end result is that President Trump made a terrible decision to abrogate the treaty with Iran negotiated by the Obama Administration. Iran was following it, and the United States could have used it as leverage to continue to put pressure on Iranian misdeeds. It also would make our allies who signed the treaty more confident that the president would honor our agreements. Breaking the treaty has led to Iran starting up its nuclear program and continuing to wreak havoc on regional neighbors. Now we’ve killed one of their major players. Does anybody other than the president believe that this will lead to Iran making nice with…anyone?

And does this action make Israel more secure? Our troops in Iraq more secure? American diplomats and government employees more secure? Will it bring Iran back to any shaped bargaining table to negotiate with a president who has shown  that he can’t be trusted?

If the president really wanted to hurt Iran and other oil-based economies, he would recognize global warming for the threat that it is and work on transitioning our economy from oil and coal to one based on renewable fuels. Instead, he is doing the opposite, making it easier for industries to pollute and for construction projects to begin without concern over whether they will worsen the climate.

Most of what the president has done in foreign policy has turned out badly. The other buddy dictators he likes continue to play him because they know he loves flattery and believes that what he says will actually come to pass. He “fell in love” with Kim Jong-Un. He believes Vladimir Putin over his own CIA and intelligence services. He’s a friend with Xi Jinping. His belief in a conspiracy theory regarding Ukraine got him impeached.

Now he’s provoked Iran, and they will reciprocate. Then what?

Did anybody think about that?

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