Donald Trump #Featured

Donald Trump Leads Hillary Clinton by 1 in New Poll

Just when you think Americans knew better, you see polls like this.

Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump — a first since May — in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

In the latest results, 46 percent of likely voters support Trump, and 45 percent are for Clinton. With the data taken to a decimal place for illustrative purposes, a mere 0.7 of a percentage point divides them.


Donald Trump #Politics

New Poll – Clinton Leads Trump by Double Digits – Video

Women, and African Americans, and Latinos, and Educated Whites, and the Middle Class, and the disabled, and all the other groups Donald Trump has offended, are getting the last laugh.

A new NBC poll shows a 14 point Hillary lead over Donald Trump, 52 to 38.


Donald Trump #Politics

Hillary Clinton Now Leads Trump by 7 Points Nationally

Politico reports that Hillary Clinton has opened up a six-point lead over Donald Trump, erasing the New York billionaire’s slim national edge with five weeks until Election Day, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll of likely voters.

Clinton leads Trump 42-36 in the four-way race for the White House. Gary Johnson garnered 9 percent, Jill Stein got 2 percent and 10 percent remain undecided. It’s a dramatic bump for Clinton: Trump led by one point before the debate, and in a POLITICO/Morning Consult survey conducted immediately after the debate, Clinton led by four points.
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In a head-to-head race between Trump and Clinton, Clinton leads by seven points, 46 percent to 39 percent.
Clinton’s lead comes at the tail end of a particularly tough week for Trump. His debate performance was uneven and widely panned by Republicans and Democrats alike. He then spent a few days chiding Alicia Machado, a former Miss Universe, for gaining weight nearly two decades ago.
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Iowa #Politics

Poll – GOP Chuck Grassley Fighting for his Political Life


I call it the Trump Effect.

A Loras College poll released Thursday had the Iowa lawmaker in a statistical dead heat against Patty Judge, his Democratic challenger. Grassley led by only one point, 46-45, against the former lieutenant governor. That nominal advantage was well within the poll’s four-point margin or error.

Public Policy Polling, a left-leaning firm, released a survey earlier last week showing Grassley with a 7-point lead. But even that margin hardly suggests safety for the incumbent.

“When I see a poll like the Loras poll or the [Public Polling Policy] poll, if I’m Grassley that makes me nervous. …That’s trouble,” said David Peterson, a political science professor at Iowa State University and editor of the academic journal Political Behavior. “I think he’s clearly more vulnerable than he’s been in past elections.”

Democrats and outside groups pounced on the polling.

Judge’s campaign blasted out the Loras College poll, noting Grassley “is consistently polling in the 40s for the first time since his election to the Senate in the 1980s.”

“We’re obviously excited about that poll,” Sam Roecker, Judge’s campaign manager, told The Hill. “This is unprecedented for Chuck Grassley.”

Donald Trump #Politics

Poll – A Majority of Sensible Americans View Trump Unfavorably


By ‘majority’ I mean around 70 percent. By ‘sensible’ I mean anyone who is not a member of the Republican party.

Seven in 10 Americans see Donald Trump unfavorably in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll, up 10 points in just the past month to a new high since he announced his candidacy for president. But Hillary Clinton reached a new high for unfavorability as well, 55 percent.

The results mark the striking challenges facing both candidates, cementing their position as the two most unpopular presumptive major party nominees for president in ABC News/Washington Post polling dating to 1984.

Trump’s result reverses a boost he received after securing the Republican presidential nomination, from 37-60 percent favorable-unfavorable in mid-May to 29-70 percent now, after a week in which he took sharp criticism for suggesting that he was being treated unfairly by a federal judge because of the judge’s Mexican heritage.

Trump’s unfavorable score is a point from his highest on record, 71 percent in late May last year, just before he formally entered the presidential race June 16. His decline in favorability in the past month was broadly based across groups.


National Poll – Bernie Sanders And Hillary Clinton Tied


Have you heard? Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are effectively tied among Democratic voters, according to the results of a Bloomberg Politics poll released Thursday.

Of the 311 people who indicated that they have voted or will vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus, 49 percent said they support Sanders, while 48 percent indicated that they prefer Clinton and the remaining 3 percent said they are not sure.

In terms of the candidates’ individual qualities and positions, Clinton generally outdrew Sanders on issues related to foreign policy, Congress, effectiveness and temperament, while majorities gave the Vermont senator higher marks for fighting hard for the middle class, honesty and trustworthiness and reining in Wall Street institutions.

Iowa #Politics

Poll – Bernie Sanders Now Leads in Iowa AND New Hampshire

Bernie Sanders just keep chipping and chipping and chipping away at what seemed to be an almost insurmountable lead for Hillary Clinton in Iowa, and if this new Quinnipiac poll is to be believed, Hillary Clinton should worry.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders wins the support of 49 percent of likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 44 percent for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 4 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to the results of a December 15 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Clinton at 51 percent, with 40 percent for Sanders.

Today, 3 percent are undecided and only 20 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

There is a yawning gender gap as men back Sanders 61 – 30 percent, with 6 percent for O’Malley, while women back Clinton 55 – 39 percent, with 3 percent for O’Malley.

Sanders also has a big lead on favorability as likely Democratic Caucus participants give him an 87 – 3 percent favorability rating, compared to Clinton’s 74 – 21 percent score.